Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 89423.394285 94322.997047 99219.169187 104475.658902 109955.805190 115497.239849 121520.722715
2025-05-25 81105.817067 88590.649895 96277.752355 104752.217998 113821.915508 123226.951396 133706.296268
2025-06-01 75870.692399 85187.132629 94962.831173 105963.603181 117976.151624 130673.210403 145086.140035
2025-06-08 70850.529008 81441.383494 92758.471677 105715.849726 120104.125566 135554.495879 153362.372138
2025-06-15 67921.438810 79667.666165 92416.541177 107229.251798 123912.001825 142064.923279 163255.029504
2025-06-22 65032.811488 77696.869618 91637.840849 108051.702697 126773.524514 147386.849277 171721.139303
2025-06-29 62096.308169 75476.169826 90400.560500 108189.182436 128717.136312 151564.343630 178813.428262
2025-07-06 59438.927984 73422.478249 89213.783027 108251.732268 130459.805698 155423.773885 185478.207620
2025-07-13 58086.940955 72802.067834 89604.258100 110068.179569 134169.446279 161500.423804 194677.375789
2025-07-20 56711.355699 72069.737132 89791.849831 111585.241734 137485.124460 167098.798733 203325.422054
2025-07-27 55108.864276 70984.485060 89491.503893 112463.169650 140001.670717 171738.688489 210850.317762
2025-08-03 53191.041238 69435.023964 88563.314301 112524.513759 141494.624218 175139.641737 216900.871373
2025-08-10 51453.793266 68067.017854 87827.140367 112805.147211 143258.872244 178895.425417 223439.993337
2025-08-17 49731.491670 66657.368498 86988.707620 112917.800740 144790.605080 182362.802450 229646.965848
2025-08-24 48685.159052 66050.446436 87099.827137 114164.098076 147681.827419 187458.433215 237826.569056
2025-08-31 46967.771627 64531.573073 86023.779686 113891.719372 148672.260971 190232.962075 243194.633635
2025-09-07 46242.533225 64250.341887 86470.533635 115497.175248 151969.807070 195815.679889 251998.536455
2025-09-14 45223.371199 63550.301990 86355.668407 116370.193343 154340.953317 200263.492185 259432.037269
2025-09-21 43931.249071 62450.619915 85693.532953 116516.091199 155776.858528 203547.872165 265438.649137
2025-09-28 42670.616306 61351.583738 84995.352475 116582.494605 157086.811736 206662.104434 271235.361340
2025-10-05 42279.260813 61389.853084 85753.823892 118511.341445 160758.026775 212727.364203 280729.329503
2025-10-12 41775.268476 61256.397416 86273.180162 120122.006180 164024.679369 218300.786204 289642.043739
2025-10-19 41014.554460 60750.392754 86283.006519 121053.990134 166414.401227 222777.331609 297201.054846